Breece Hall on the Move? Analyzing the Potential Trade Impact on the Jets’ Star Running Back

Breece Hall on the Move? Analyzing the Potential Trade Impact on the Jets’ Star Running Back

The New York Jets’ ground game has been a topic of much discussion this offseason, and not necessarily for positive reasons. After a season where the team struggled to find consistency on offense, questions are swirling around the future of their star running back, Breece Hall. Could the Jets be considering trading away one of their most dynamic playmakers? Let’s delve into the factors driving these rumors and what a potential trade could mean for both Hall and the Jets.

The Committee Approach: A New Philosophy in New York?

New Jets head coach Aaron Glenn has publicly stated his intention to implement a three-running back system, utilizing Hall alongside Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis. This approach, similar to what Glenn observed in Detroit with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery, aims to keep all backs fresh and defenses guessing. While this strategy could theoretically extend Hall’s career and potentially increase his efficiency, it also raises concerns about his overall workload and value to the team.

ESPN’s Rich Cimini reported on Glenn’s comments, suggesting that this shift in philosophy could make Hall expendable, especially considering the presence of other talented backs on the roster. Cimini also noted that Hall is entering the final year of his rookie contract, and with looming extensions for stars like Sauce Gardner and Garrett Wilson, the Jets may face difficult decisions about allocating their resources.

Hall’s Performance: A Decline in Efficiency?

While Hall remains a highly regarded talent, his production has seen a slight dip since his explosive rookie season. After tearing his ACL seven games into his first year in 2022, Hall has shown flashes of brilliance, but his yards per carry average has decreased each subsequent season. In 2022, he averaged an impressive 5.8 yards per carry, followed by 4.5 in 2023 and 4.2 in 2024.

According to Next Gen Stats, his Rush Yards Over Expected (per attempt) has also declined, from 1.4 in 2022 to 0.4 in 2024. While these numbers don’t tell the whole story, they do raise questions about whether Hall is reaching his full potential in the Jets’ current offensive scheme.

Potential Trade Destinations: Where Could Hall Land?

If the Jets were to entertain trade offers for Hall, several teams could be interested in acquiring his services.

  • Chicago Bears: The Bears, under new head coach Ben Johnson, are looking to revamp their offense and could see Hall as a perfect fit for their system. Bleacher Report’s Alex Kay suggested a trade involving D’Andre Swift and the No. 72 pick in the upcoming NFL Draft.
  • Los Angeles Chargers: With Justin Herbert at quarterback and Jim Harbaugh now leading the charge, the Chargers are in desperate need of offensive playmakers. Hall could provide a significant boost to their running game and offer Herbert a reliable target out of the backfield.
  • New Orleans Saints: The Saints could create a dynamic duo by pairing Hall with Alvin Kamara. A seasoned analyst noted that “A backfield of Kamara and Hall would give the Saints two rushers who are rushing and receiving threats,” adding versatility and explosiveness to their offense.
  • Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys, with a revamped running back room, could see Hall as the missing piece to ignite their rushing attack. Hall would immediately step in as the Cowboys’ starter in the backfield and take some pressure off Dak Prescott and the passing game.
  • Las Vegas Raiders: The Raiders, who struggled mightily to run the ball last season, could view Hall as a potential workhorse back under head coach Pete Carroll.

The Contract Conundrum: Weighing the Financial Implications

Hall is currently on a four-year, $9.01 million rookie contract, which he signed in 2022. The deal included a $3.73 million signing bonus and $6.37 million in guarantees. As he enters the final year of his contract, Hall is eligible for an extension. Spotrac projects his next contract could be worth around $28 million.

However, with the Jets facing potential extensions for Gardner and Wilson, and with Glenn’s desire to utilize a committee approach, the team may be hesitant to invest a significant amount of money in a running back. This financial consideration could further incentivize the Jets to explore a trade.

The Draft Factor: A Deep Running Back Class

The 2025 NFL Draft is expected to be loaded with talented running backs, potentially making Hall more expendable. If the Jets believe they can find a suitable replacement in the draft, they may be more willing to part ways with Hall and acquire valuable draft capital in return. ESPN’s Rich Cimini suggested the Jets might consider moving Hall if Boise State star Ashton Jeanty is available with the seventh pick.

The Impact of a Trade: A Look at Both Sides

Trading Breece Hall would have significant implications for both the Jets and Hall himself.

For the Jets:

  • Potential Benefits: Acquiring draft capital, freeing up cap space, and allowing other young running backs to develop.
  • Potential Risks: Losing a dynamic playmaker, weakening the offense, and potentially alienating fans.

For Breece Hall:

  • Potential Benefits: Joining a team where he can be the featured back, potentially increasing his production and value.
  • Potential Risks: Learning a new offensive system, adjusting to a new team culture, and potentially facing increased competition for carries.

The Verdict: To Trade or Not to Trade?

As of April 17, 2025, the Jets have not made any definitive decisions regarding Hall’s future. While the rumors and speculation continue to swirl, it’s important to remember that no concrete evidence suggests a trade is imminent.

Ultimately, the Jets’ decision will likely depend on a combination of factors, including Hall’s performance in training camp, the offers they receive from other teams, and their evaluation of the running back prospects in the upcoming draft.

One thing is certain: the Breece Hall situation will be a storyline to watch closely as the NFL season approaches. Whether he remains in New York or finds a new home, his talent and potential will undoubtedly make him a valuable asset to any team.