Beyond the Favorites: Identifying the Dark Horse Teams That Could Shock Super Bowl 2026
The NFL is a league of constant surprises, where dynasties crumble and underdogs rise. As we look ahead to Super Bowl LX in 2026, the usual suspects like the Philadelphia Eagles (+650), Buffalo Bills (+750), and Kansas City Chiefs (+700) are already topping the odds boards. But what about those teams lurking in the shadows, the ones with the potential to shock the world and make an unexpected run to the championship?
Consider this: In the past decade, 25% of Super Bowl participants weren’t playoff teams the year before. This highlights the dynamic nature of the league and the very real possibility of a team making a meteoric rise. This year, we’re diving deep to identify the dark horse teams that could defy expectations and compete for the Lombardi Trophy in 2026.
The usual suspects
Before we delve into the dark horses, let’s briefly acknowledge the top contenders. The Philadelphia Eagles, fresh off their Super Bowl LIX victory, are early favorites. With Jalen Hurts at quarterback and a dominant offensive line, they possess the firepower to repeat. The Buffalo Bills, led by MVP candidate Josh Allen, are perennial contenders in the AFC. Their potent offense and solid defense make them a threat to any team. And of course, we can’t forget Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, who despite their Super Bowl LIX loss, remain a force to be reckoned with.
The Chargers: Harbaugh’s blueprint for success
Under the leadership of Jim Harbaugh, the Los Angeles Chargers (+3200) are an intriguing dark horse. Harbaugh’s arrival has already transformed the team, leading them to a playoff appearance in 2024. With Justin Herbert at quarterback and promising rookies like Ladd McConkey, the Chargers are poised to make significant strides. Harbaugh’s emphasis on a strong running game and stout defense could be the recipe for a deep playoff run. The Chargers also have $63.4 million in available cap space to improve the roster, mainly on the interior of the offensive line and at tight end.
The Packers: Love’s leap to contention
The Green Bay Packers (+1900) are another team on the rise. Led by quarterback Jordan Love, who already has a playoff win under his belt, the Packers boast a young and talented roster. Their improved run defense and stability on the offensive line provide a solid foundation for success. With a favorable NFC North outlook, the Packers are emerging as strong contenders for Super Bowl 60.
The Bengals: Burrow’s bounce-back season
After a challenging 2024 season, the Cincinnati Bengals (+2000) are poised for a comeback. With Joe Burrow back at the helm, the Bengals’ explosive offense has the potential to dominate. The team’s five-game winning streak to end the 2024 season is a testament to their potential. If the Bengals can shore up their defense, they could be a serious threat in the AFC.
The Lions: Building on momentum
The Detroit Lions (+900) are looking to build on their strong performance in recent years. Despite injuries derailing their 2024-25 season, the Lions possess a talented roster and a favorable NFC North outlook. With key players like Aidan Hutchinson returning, the Lions are attracting significant betting interest and could be poised for a deep playoff run.
The Commanders: A new era in Washington
With a new head coach and a promising young quarterback in Jayden Daniels, the Washington Commanders (+1800) are an intriguing team to watch. While they face the challenge of playing in a tough division with the Eagles, the Commanders have the potential to surprise. If Daniels can quickly adapt to the NFL, the Commanders could make a run to the NFC Championship game.
Other teams to watch
Several other teams could emerge as dark horse contenders. The Atlanta Falcons (+4800), with their talented offense and a favorable NFC South outlook, could turn some heads. The Houston Texans (+2700), led by quarterback C.J. Stroud, are another team on the rise. And let’s not forget about the Denver Broncos (+3500), who with an elite defense and a young quarterback, could be a tough team to beat.
What makes a dark horse team?
Several factors contribute to a team’s dark horse potential. A strong quarterback is essential, as is a solid offensive line and a disruptive defense. Coaching stability and a favorable schedule can also play a significant role. But perhaps the most important factor is the ability to stay healthy and overcome adversity.
The road to Super Bowl LX
The road to Super Bowl LX will be filled with challenges and surprises. While the favorites will undoubtedly be in the mix, the dark horse teams have the potential to shake things up and make a memorable run. Keep an eye on these teams as the 2025 season unfolds, as they could be the ones competing for the Lombardi Trophy in 2026.