Crystal Ball Check: Reviewing the Accuracy of 2025 NFL Playoff Predictions

The air is thick with anticipation as the 2025 NFL season approaches. Preseason predictions, bold claims, and expert analyses have all been swirling since the final whistle of Super Bowl LIX. Now, with training camps in full swing and the regular season looming, it’s time to revisit those forecasts and see how well they align with the current landscape of the league. Did the analysts get it right, or are we in for a season of shocking upsets and unexpected contenders?

Remember the bold predictions made in the offseason? Let’s dive in and see how those “sure things” are shaping up.

AFC Playoff Picture: Chalk or Chaos?

The “Locks”: Several analysts confidently penciled in the usual suspects for AFC playoff berths. The Kansas City Chiefs, led by the ever-dominant Patrick Mahomes, were almost universally considered a shoo-in. After all, they’ve been a fixture in the playoffs for the last decade, with Mahomes at the helm. Similarly, the Buffalo Bills, now firmly in control of the AFC East, were expected to continue their postseason streak. The Baltimore Ravens, with a healthy Lamar Jackson, were also touted as strong contenders.

Reality Check: Mahomes continues to dominate the league, securing the top spot in CBS Sports’ Top 100 NFL players of 2025. However, some argue that his numbers haven’t been as “gaudy” in recent seasons. The Bills have bolstered their defense with additions like Joey Bosa and Maxwell Hairston, while also providing Josh Allen with another receiving target in Joshua Palmer. Lamar Jackson is also expected to lead the Ravens to the playoffs.

The Surprise Packages: Some bolder predictions highlighted teams poised to “shock everyone.” The New York Jets, now with Justin Fields at quarterback, were mentioned as a team with the potential to surprise. The Denver Broncos, after ending an eight-year drought in 2024, were also identified as a team that could make some noise.

Reality Check: The Jets’ success hinges on Justin Fields’ performance. Rich Eisen suggested that if Sam Darnold gets even better in Seattle, that would be a pleasant surprise. The Broncos’ playoff hopes depend on their ability to capitalize on a relatively easy schedule.

The Potential Drop-offs: Not every team can maintain its playoff form. Some analysts suggested that the Los Angeles Chargers, despite the arrival of Jim Harbaugh, might struggle to replicate their 2024 success. The Pittsburgh Steelers, with questions at the quarterback position, were also identified as a team that could miss the postseason.

Reality Check: While Harbaugh’s arrival has raised the baseline for the Chargers, Justin Herbert’s performance will be crucial. The Steelers’ quarterback situation remains uncertain, with Aaron Rodgers potentially nearing the end of his career.

NFC Playoff Hopes: A Crowded Field

The Top Tier: In the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles, fresh off their Super Bowl LIX victory, were widely expected to contend for another title. The Detroit Lions, after a historic 2024 season, were also considered a strong bet to return to the playoffs.

Reality Check: The Eagles are the betting favorites to win Super Bowl 60. The Lions, led by Jared Goff, are expected to build on their success from last season.

The Rising Contenders: Several teams were tipped to make significant leaps in 2025. The Washington Commanders, with a year of Jayden Daniels under their belt, were expected to challenge for a playoff spot. The Chicago Bears, after an offseason overhaul, were also identified as a team on the rise.

Reality Check: The Commanders’ success depends on Daniels avoiding a sophomore slump. The Bears’ playoff hopes hinge on Ben Johnson unlocking Caleb Williams’ potential.

The Teams on the Bubble: Predicting the NFC playoff picture is never easy. Teams like the Minnesota Vikings, now led by J.J. McCarthy, and the San Francisco 49ers, looking to bounce back from a disappointing 2024 season, were seen as teams with the potential to either make or miss the playoffs.

Reality Check: The Vikings’ playoff chances depend on McCarthy’s development. The 49ers are hoping for better health and a favorable schedule to return to contention.

Individual Performances: Exceeding Expectations?

Beyond team predictions, many analysts also made bold claims about individual player performances.

Sam Darnold’s Redemption: After a breakout season with the Vikings, Darnold was named to the NFL’s Top 100 Players of 2025. Can he continue his success with the Seahawks?
Saquon Barkley’s Dual Threat: Some analysts predicted that Barkley could reach 1,000 rushing and 1,000 receiving yards in 2025.
Myles Garrett’s Dominance: Garrett is considered the NFL’s most dominant defensive player, with some predicting another Defensive Player of the Year award.

The Unpredictable Nature of the NFL

While preseason predictions can be fun, the NFL is notorious for its unpredictability. Injuries, unexpected breakouts, and coaching changes can all derail even the most carefully laid plans. As the 2025 season unfolds, it will be fascinating to see which predictions hold true and which ones fall by the wayside. One thing is certain: we’re in for another exciting year of football.